Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000830 0.000891 0.000956 0.001030 0.001112 0.001200 0.001302
2026-02-08 0.000725 0.000806 0.000896 0.001004 0.001130 0.001274 0.001451
2026-02-15 0.000668 0.000762 0.000870 0.001003 0.001165 0.001359 0.001611
2026-02-22 0.000619 0.000720 0.000838 0.000989 0.001179 0.001414 0.001733
2026-03-01 0.000572 0.000675 0.000799 0.000961 0.001170 0.001437 0.001812
2026-03-08 0.000538 0.000644 0.000773 0.000946 0.001175 0.001475 0.001912
2026-03-15 0.000509 0.000617 0.000750 0.000931 0.001178 0.001509 0.002006
2026-03-22 0.000471 0.000575 0.000706 0.000886 0.001136 0.001478 0.002002
2026-03-29 0.000449 0.000553 0.000686 0.000872 0.001134 0.001501 0.002080
2026-04-05 0.000437 0.000544 0.000683 0.000880 0.001164 0.001571 0.002233
2026-04-12 0.000422 0.000530 0.000671 0.000876 0.001175 0.001613 0.002345
2026-04-19 0.000435 0.000553 0.000711 0.000945 0.001297 0.001832 0.002765
2026-04-26 0.000410 0.000526 0.000682 0.000916 0.001274 0.001828 0.002821
2026-05-03 0.000390 0.000504 0.000659 0.000896 0.001263 0.001843 0.002913
2026-05-10 0.000378 0.000492 0.000651 0.000895 0.001281 0.001908 0.003101
2026-05-17 0.000363 0.000477 0.000635 0.000883 0.001281 0.001941 0.003233
2026-05-24 0.000346 0.000457 0.000613 0.000859 0.001260 0.001935 0.003289
2026-05-31 0.000334 0.000443 0.000598 0.000846 0.001256 0.001959 0.003407
2026-06-07 0.000322 0.000429 0.000584 0.000833 0.001251 0.001982 0.003524
2026-06-14 0.000304 0.000406 0.000554 0.000794 0.001200 0.001915 0.003444
2026-06-21 0.000293 0.000395 0.000541 0.000782 0.001193 0.001930 0.003544
2026-06-28 0.000289 0.000391 0.000541 0.000789 0.001221 0.002012 0.003802
2026-07-05 0.000282 0.000383 0.000534 0.000785 0.001229 0.002056 0.003980